My top 5 places to invest for 2010 – Part 1
The property market in many countries has taken a real hit over the last few years, however this sometimes is not a bad thing.
If your looking at property investment as an alternative to stocks and shares then the time may be ripe to invest.
Below are my top 5 places to invest.
1. Cape Verde:
When looking for an overseas investment opportunity the first thing you should always ask yourself is “would i go there”. If the answer is no, the chances are your not in the minority.
The next question is, if you would go there, why?
For me Cape Verde offers a unique proposition, 360 days worth of sun that you can access via a 5 hour flight.
Combine these 2 points and it narrows the field down considerably; quite honestly the competitors i’ve either been to or i’d never want to.
The reason for this is as follows, not only does Cape Verde have a Caribbean climate but also a laid back lifestyle unlike many of its competitors.
The Prices are still relatively low compared to the likes of Tenerife and some Caribbean islands, this is mainly due to the infancy of the islands that make up Cape Verde.
This will not be the case for long, already some major 5 star hotel operators are building on the islands of Sal and Boavista, this will increase tourism and put more pressure on Airline operators to increase their flights.
One such 5* hotel operator is Sol Melia – the worlds largest hotel resort operator, they are taking over the running of our Dunas Beach Resort investment opportunity.
Conclusion:
Risk = Medium
Returns = High
Yields = High
Minimum cost to invest = £33,640.
2. Barbados:
If you have deeper pockets abd want slightly less risk then Barbados may be for you, offering the true 5* lifestyle with prices to boot.
The reason i think this is a good investment is that even though prices are high, you can still achieve yields in excess of 10%, as witnessed in our opportunity on the West Coast Barbados.
Yields this good along with the knowledge that you are investing in the holiday makers favourite Caribbean island means that occupancy rates should remain strong. Most other Caribbean islands are so far behind that no threat to this crown seems anywhere near appearing.
Demand is Barbados is so high it has become the place for celebrities to have second homes, as proved by a host of premier league footballers, golfers and tv personalities.
Conclusion:
Risk = Low
Returns = Medium
Yields = High
Minimum cost to invest = £64,990.
3. Spain – Barcelona:
I love Barcelona, its my favourite city by a long ways.
Sea, Sun, Football, Great Beaches, Great Nightlife andf now a grand prix! I don’t know another city that offers so much.
I also think its a bit of a hidden gem, 1 bed apartments on the outskirts of Barcelona can be picked up for around €160,000 and if you can rent them for 40 weeks of the year you should be on for close to a 8% yield. Not bad for one of the most cosmopolitan cities in the world.
Demand will always be strong because of the sheer size and climate of Barca.
Combine this with the fact that house prices in Barcelona have hardly been effected by the global financial crisis and you know that values will remain robust in all but the most dire of circumstances.
Conclusion:
Risk = Low
Returns = Medium
Yields = Medium
Minimum cost to invest = £27,111
Too see what numbers 4 and 5 are, click here!
Conclusions of 2009 – Opportunities for 2010
2009 – A year when then the smart investor used their time to set them up for 2010.
I think you will be in the minority if you haven’t suffered some kind of hardship this year, many investors have seen thier dreams of retirement severely set back.
This has not been confined to property, if you had shares or your money in some banks you could be in a worse situation!
So what should this year have taught the average investor?
1. The only way to build a profitable portfolio for the long term is by investing smart.
For me that means keeping at least 20% worth of equity in any property so you build yourself a buffer to combat any drop in values.
Investors have been stung by dropping loan to value rates, an unwillingness by lenders to remortgage on to rates previously offered has seen investors have to increase the equity in their properties, leaving them severely stretched.
Over the last 2 years i have seen investors with portfolio’s worth in excess of £100m go bankrupt, how can this be i hear you say.
What some property investors seem to misunderstand is that if you have a portfolio worth £100m, with lending on it of £90m. You actually have a portfolio worth £10m. If property prices drop 10%, what is the worth of your portfolio…Nothing!
If this happens you are entirely reliant on the income that your portfolio brings in, investors too highly geared normally cannot withstand more than a couple of months of empty properties.
2. Property Investment is not a get rich quick scheme – investors that use it as such usually find they have leveraged too high.
I am one of the biggest exponents of flipping property, i think that if you have the time and the know how it is possible to make decent profit this way but it is entirely dependent on a couple of factors.
Firstly, you need a massive amount of knowledge of the local market, this is not something that can be learnt quickly, so for this reason either keep to one area or find yourself a property specialist that you trust completely.
Secondly, always have another exit strategy, so if you are buying to re-sell, make sure that if worst case you can’t do this immediately, you can let the property out and pay your mortgage that way.
I have refurbed properties for over 6 years and we are also in the middle of developing apartments, i value every property investment opportunity by the number of exit strategies it provides.
3. The good times will come again, use times like these to research the market and decide where the best profits will be made next year and in the future.
If i could focus on the single most important factor i have taken from 2009 it’s that within the next month or so the vast majority of new build developers will completely run out of stock.
At Fresh Invest we are in contact with all major new build developers and 9 months ago all of them decided to stop all build that wasn’t already past footings. This decision was made because the last thing the market needed at that point was more new build stock. They are all building again now but this has created a back log where all finished sites have been sold and the next tranche of stock is still around 6 months away.
We have seen average discounts reduced from 40% 9 months ago, to 15%-20% now, and thats if you can find any stock. We have 2 developments left on our books which are selling at around 2 a day.
The first 6 months of 2010 will see property prices increase due to a lack of supply and increased demand as more confidence seeps back into the market.
I would take the first few months of 2010 to pick up the last pieces of good quality discount property around, there is only 1 way values are going to go in 2010.
New Opportunities through Fresh Invest:
1. We are launching a scheme that should give clients access to lender stock, for property investors looking to pick up great quality buy to let property in a particular area this is the one!
2. We are working hard on some student schemes, these should yield over 8%, have really low interest rates and start at around £80,000. With massive demand and industry professionals flocking to this market this is definitely one for the future!
Student Property Report 2009-2010
In a market where many investors have seen rental voids, capital values decrease and Ltv rates decrease, why are many of the UK’s most renowned investors focusing on Student Accommodation?
If you look at the simple economics, student accommodation really does sell itself.
In short, you can purchase a property that will rent at a much higher value to students than an equivalent unit would to a private individual. You also do not have the downfall of rental voids! In fact, many landlords are filling their units 6 months in advance!
Many investors want hands off investments with high returns and no rental voids.
If this is you, look no further.
Demand:
Where rental demand in the residential sector is prone to peaks and troughs, student number have continued to rise from 1.8 million in 1996-97 to approaching 2.4 million in 2009-10*.
Indeed early indications are that the economic conditions have led to even more people looking to higher education.
UCAS data revealed that UK university applicants rose 10% between 2008 and 2009 and overseas applicants rose 13.6% during the same period.
“Overall student numbers are likely to remain stable and in the medium-term there is unlikely to be a substantial uplift in student places as caps remain in place. However, the expectation is that the proportions of both overseas and postgraduate students will continue to grow, underpinning future demand for private professionally managed halls.” Knight Frank
Supply:
Private Student Development is still made up of the 4 main service providers, UNITE, UPP, Opal and Liberty Living. The majority of students have to rely on halls for their accommodation with a small percent benefitting from access to private operated rooms.
Many university run halls are found to be outdated and lacking in necessary facilities. This creates demand for private accommodation but with development finance so hard to come by, this accommodation is nowhere near keeping up with demand.
“Student Numbers are growing at 15 times the rate of new supply in London” Savills
Prospects:
Student accommodation rents have increased by 5% p.a for the last 6 years with growth increasing right into the 2009/10 academic years. Compare this to residential and commercial rents which have both fallen overall during this period and you start to understand what makes this market so appealing.
“Student Housing delivers income during uncertain economic times” Savills
As student accommodation is commercial by class this has also seen an increase in values, this sectors robustness is highly attractive to a growing number of investors who want high capital growth that can be depended on for the long term.
Even in the midst of a global downturn occupation levels for good quality purpose built private accommodation is close to 100% with rental levels for 2010 predicted to increase by at least 5%.
Yields and Values:
Although the rentals gained have not been hit by the credit crunch, one side that has been impacted has been the finance student developers have been able to find. Because of a lack of this many new build schemes have not got off the ground.
If we factor this and the fact that university applications have steadily increased we have a demand/supply scenario which is drastically in the favour of the buy to let investor with student property in their portfolio.
Compound this with the fact that many universities cannot afford to build the necessary accommodation themselves and we have a scenario where these same universities cannot grow to their potential because of this lack of accommodation.
Universities have always relied on private developers to make up the deficit that their own student halls cannot fill.
With many student developers not building because of the lending constrictions, small investors are starting to fill the void with new build 4/5 bedroom houses. These normally comply with the rigorous build accreditations and rent for a lot more than residential lettings.
Through this lack of supply yields have risen steadily and values have followed, we envision this to be the case for the foreseeable future. The student market is continually growing and with many universities operating on shoestrings it falls to the private student developers to build in their place.
How we can help:
You will have seen by previous posts, blogs and emails that Fresh Invest have faith in the student market as a valid buy to let option.
For this reason we are due in the very near future to bring you a selection of landmark student pods which can be bough individually as “completely hands off” investments.
These properties will come already tenanted with high yields and great commercial mortgage options.
Below is an example of a property we are close to agreeing an exclusive for.
Financial Example.
1 bed student pod – First Floor – From £90,000
- Deposit Needed – £31,500
- Rental achievable – £541 (£125 per week)
- Mortgage – £58,500
- Mortgage Payments – £138 pcm (RBS, 65% LTV @ 2.83% Tracker)
- Service Charge and Ground Rent: £70 pcm
- Positive cashflow of £333 pcm!
Register your interest for these opportunities here.
Carbon Credits and Forestry Offsets
A blog about Carbon Credits as: An investment, A growing market and a possible lifesaver.
Did you hear about San Francisco Airport being the first airport to install carbon offset kiosks in their terminals? HOW EXCITING IS THAT?!
As far as I am concerned this is a fantastic idea. The easier it is for people to offset their carbon emissions the better! The carbon offset kiosk is about 5ft tall and fully automated so doesn’t need anyone to run it on a day to day basis. Now bear in mind that around 18 million flights are made per year carrying around 1 billion passengers… How’s that for a target market? 1 billion bored passengers waiting for inevitably delayed flights. Nothing else to do but think about how the flight they are just about to embark upon is going to damage the planet that little bit more.
Now I know what the worry in this process will be. “So I pay around £10 for this credit, in the understanding that someone, somewhere has stopped 1 tonne of co2 entering the atmosphere.”
I will explain why this works in terms of a forestry project.
When you give money to the offset company they will:
- Use the money to purchase forestry which has sequestered CO2.
- Pay indigenous or local people to look after this forestry thereby stopping it from being cut down for monetary gain.
- By preventing the logging of this forest you will stop trapped CO2 from entering the atmosphere.
The opportunity:
This is where we come in.
As you can see the carbon credit market is growing and this latest piece of news alone could bring a further £10 billion per year of income to the market. Obviously this is a massive claim and it would mean that every airport would have to install many of these kiosks and every passenger would have to purchase around one credit for each flight, even though, the chances are, they are using more than this.
Now we are offering an opportunity, in this market where you could make returns of 100% pa for 47 years!
How can we do this?
One of our partners has started a company which purchases land out in the Brazilian rainforest. The trees on this land have a massive amount of carbon stored in them and if he wasn’t preserving these trees they would be illegally logged and then the carbon which is currently stored would be released, furthering the damage to our atmosphere.
For our partners fantastic efforts he is rewarded with 1 carbon credit by the voluntary carbon standard for every tonne of CO2 which he prevents from entering the atmosphere. These credits currently trade at around £11 each in the market.
This is where you come in.
- We will offer you the chance to buy these credits from our partner at a price of 50 pence per credit!
- The minimum investment is £25,000 and for this you will receive 50,000 credits at 1,000 credits per year for 50 years.
- For the first 3 years the project manager will guarantee you a return of 12%.
- From years 3 to 50 you will sell directly to the end user through our partner who is also a carbon broker.
- The price for these credits is currently hovering around the £11 mark this would lead to a return of 44% pa on your invested money. Not bad hey!
There are 2 types of carbon credit: CER’s (certified emission reductions) and VER’s (verified emission reductions).
CER’s can trade at anything up to around £30 per credit.
VER’s can trade at anything up to around £15 per credit.
By purchasing from our forestry offset you will be purchasing VER’s
How could you make returns of 100% pa?
For the last few years there has been a lot of controversy over what category forestry offsets should be traded as. At the Copenhagen climate change summit in December this year, it is highly likely that forestry will be named as a “clean development mechanism” or CDM therefore producing CER’s. The reason for this is that current clean development mechanisms such as wind farms or solar farms actually create carbon when they are built as I’m sure you can appreciate. However forestry does not emit any carbon to put in place, the trees are already there, all we are doing is making sure they are not forested for monetary gain.
If forestry offsets become CER’s the project managers or investors can sell the credits at a higher price. This money can then filter through to the local people looking after the forests. Furthering the need to sustain rainforests rather than deplete them. Basically “the forest will be worth more alive than dead”
p.s. It’s already started. The UNFCCC have already named 3 forestry projects as clean development mechanisms.
If you would like more details on our fantastic forestry opportunity Click here
Further reading
This is the website for the Copenhagen climate change summit and articles relating the forestry. http://en.cop15.dk/Frontpage/Search+result?query=forestry
Invest In UK farmland for financial security!
Farmland as an alternative investment is a relatively “untapped” market at present.
Why is this? Well investing in farmland often means that you will have to be of a high net worth so unless you can scrape together a few million pounds it is… I’m afraid to say out of most individuals reach.
This is because farmland is currently selling at around £5,000 per acre. This doesn’t sound too bad but farms are normally sold in massive lot sizes.
Why would you want to invest in farmland?
Firstly let’s look at what the prices of agricultural farmland are governed by:
- Increasing demand from house builders as the population of the world increases.
- Increasing demand from farmers that need to provide food for this growing population.
- Increasing demand from power stations that need to decrease their non renewable resource consumption to help the UK stay in Line with the Kyoto Protocol.
- Decreasing resources as more and more planning permission is granted for new homes, renewable power stations and renewable energy projects such as wind farms. The supply of bare agricultural land is running out and one thing is for sure we cannot create more!
The cumulative result of this has been values increasing by 15% year upon year.
Farmland is something which every human being needs to live. In its purest form it provides us with a means to grow food and rear cattle therefore providing the means to eat for the whole population.
A quote from H.R.H Prince Charles recently in the Richard Dimbleby lecture read “That which sustains us must itself, also be sustained” This means that the whole ecosystem of this world needs to be restored at the same or at a faster rate than it is diminished. The Amazonian rainforest alone releases 50 billion tonnes of water vapour into the atmosphere every day! This makes our climate cool and makes this planet inhabitable. Deforestation is currently operating at a rate of; the size of a football pitch every 4 seconds! One of the great problems with deforestation is the rate at which it impacts on our environment. Not only does all of the CO2 sunk by the trees get released into the atmosphere when they are burnt. But there are now less natural CO2 sinkers in the environment and when trees are not sinking CO2, they are not producing oxygen, the very air we breathe.
Our reliance upon nature’s non-renewable resources is 25% greater than nature can self sustain. Fossil fuels such as coal, petroleum and natural gas are being used at too fast a rate. The sustainability of these fossil fuels is something which is being tackled by the Kyoto Protocol.
The Kyoto Protocol is an obligation made by all countries to cut their use of non renewable resources by 80% by 2050. Here is where we can come back to farmland and the growing market that is renewable crops and the land underpinning it. As Power stations throughout the UK start to follow the trend and invest heavily in harnessing the power of renewable resources, this may well drive up the prices of green energy crops such as Miscanthus grass which is a co-burner to be used with coal in the production of electricity. Now this may well increase your annual yield through higher revenues, but with this, the land itself should increase in value as it is now worth more to the investor.
So let’s recap
- The price of farmland is steadily increasing as demand increases and supply decreases.
- Farmland value has increased on average by 15% year on year.
- It is a diminishing resource that needs to be sustained.
- It will help the UK contribute to their Kyoto protocol obligations.
- More and more people are starting to see the benefits of being “Armchair Farmers”.
- There is around £11 billion of borrowing secured on assets worth over £170 billion, excluding stocks and growing crops.
- It is the foundation of the built environment!
Remember the secret to success is to balance your portfolio. Where better than UK farmland?
Balance your portfolio with alternative investments!
Here at Fresh Invest we have been working hard, attempting to provide our investors with the means to build and prosper from a balanced portfolio.
Why is it so important to build a balanced portfolio?
A balanced portfolio will perform well in every market. You need to prepare yourself for every eventuality, for example. If there is another fall in house prices, people are likely to look elsewhere for places to hedge their savings or pensions and hopefully provide them with an income. This will therefore push prices up in the relative sectors, as demand increases people will look to charge more of a premium.
As markets become more volatile than ever, you should be looking to put your hard earned savings and pensions into a range of products where the value is governed by an increasing demand and a decreasing supply, during varying economic climates.
How about UK farmland? Well let’s get one thing straight we cannot create more land, neither can we build upwards, agriculturally. UK Farmland has been growing in value by 15% pa over the past 3 years where other investments have been decreasing in value.
We always need land
Another point is that if the UK housing market was to recover there will be uplift in demand for farmland yet again as housing developers start to look for land to build on. Putting further pressure on price rises as resources are diminished. Now if this happened and you were lucky enough to purchase in an area where planning gain is possible for further housing, this could greatly increase the value of your land!
Not only can alternative investments provide safe returns in uncertain economic times, many of them can provide great taxation benefits such as capital gains and inheritance tax relief.
There is a vast array of alternative investments on the market at the moment and without specialist advice you may not end up with a balanced portfolio at all.
So speak to the experts www.freshinvest.co.uk
