Having just seen a news article stating that Britain is to become a nation of renters, I felt that it contradicted slightly the other news I heard today which was that a leading mortgage provider are now offering a 100% LTV mortgage! Yes, that’s right, it’s back! Arguably the thing which started the whole credit crunch and recession we are currently experiencing in most westernised countries. I understand that, at the moment the terms to these types of mortgages are very onerous, but I feel it’s only a matter of time before these are widely available on better terms.

Obviously there is A LOT more to the credit crunch and the recession than the 100% mortgage, but I must say, when people are given the chance to purchase a house that they can ill afford, I start to get worried. Then again, maybe it is exactly what the market needs at this point to stop the UK turning into a “nation of renters” From my calculations; in most places it would definitely be cheaper to service a 100% LTV mortgage than rent a property. Crucially though, what would this do to house prices, if there is a massive drop off in the private rented sector? With less competition from renters, the currently healthy rental market may start to take a turn for the worse, landlords having to lower their market rent in order to attract tenants. Would this cause a sell off of some investor properties? Doubtful, as prices are not exactly at all time high levels at the moment. So as people may start to decide to Purchase rather than line the pockets of their landlords will we see a correction in rental yields which are very high at the moment, with property prices rising in accordance?

With the return of a 100% LTV mortgage there will now be the opportunity for people that had very little equity in their current house to upsize, this could free up FTB properties which can now be funded with new mortgages on the market. First time Buyer’s are often called the lifeblood of the market. Without new buyers in the market who will purchase all of the new supply from housebuilders?

What does all of this mean for those wishing to invest in UK property? I am a firm believer in a recent article I read in the Estates Gazette which gave a compelling argument for the fact that we need different methods to measure the UK property market these days, and the old method of an average wage multiplier to the average house price ratio should be overlooked. The reason stated in the estates gazette was the fact that property prices have continued increasing albeit very slowly over the past couple of years, but real income has been dropping, much due to the very high inflation we are currently experiencing. This is why other signals must be taken into account, one of which is always going to be mortgage availability and the cost of credit. Now availability is very high and the cost of credit is at an all time low are we just about to see a large increase in UK house prices?

Time will tell…

The end of 2010 was an interesting time for the property market, with not a lot of people looking to move just before Christmas and the extreme weather conditions putting a further dampener on house sales. However, mortgage approvals and sales are still holding up and I would expect as we go into spring, house sales will increase and prices will follow suit.

With news today that the Consumer Price Index has risen to 3.7% the BOE may well decide to increase interest rates in the coming months to try and curb this. However, the recent Consumer Price Index will not be taking into account the increase in Vat which has just come into play. I feel that consumers will have purchased their products earlier due to the Vat increase and this would of course bolster the CPI albeit temporarily.

It seems that in the face of fiscal restriction increasing the interest rate to try and slow inflation could be a dangerous move by the BOE however is it something they have to do? I am unsure as to the strength of the economy coming out of this recession and feel that an increase in interest rates too early could cause another fall in house prices. But then again, does the economy need this in the long run? What we need to remember when looking at the property market is that, unless we have new consumers entering the market, then it could fall into stagnation and at the moment, it is still hard for a first time buyer to get on that first rung of the ladder.

First time buyers are the lifeline of the market they need to be buying to keep the market moving. But then again, say first time buyers have to turn to renting does this mean that the market will be bolstered by Investors for the time being until there are some more attractive lending options available for the first time buyer?

What do you think?

I know one thing’s for certain, by buying one of our UK property investments with built in equity and reliable tenants in good locations you will be either weathering a storm or riding a wave of success.

Forgive my scepticism, I can only talk from past experience, you see I’ve got a share portfolio which I’m looking to for a pension, I’ve had this for 7 years and rather than make me any money, it’s actually fallen 3% in value.

The news is full of programmes investigating the current financial crisis; no avenue of investment seems to be safe.
Panorama recently investigated the vast fees and commissions some pension companies take from their clients, in one case a lady’s net return over 21 years was just 3%…it would have been 4% if she had not been paying various charges!
Now I’m sure that there are other pensions that would return her a larger sum but as she pointed out, how do you know which are any good?
Well the answer is, you really don’t…

Why Property?

For years I have tried to educate clients as to the benefits of investing in property as your pension. Not only do you benefit from any rental returns after mortgage payments but you will also over a number of years, benefit from capital growth.

It has been widely documented that property prices have taken a tumble in many locations, however if you buy smart and at a good price you massively reduce your risk.
The average pension pot in the UK is around £33,000; now for many of you it may not be too late to do something about this.
Below I will show you a simple way to make your money work for you in property.

Let’s take a 35 year old male that wants to retire at 55.

• Purchase a 1 bed apartment for £150,000. (Multiple locations across the south coast)
• Deposit needed £30,000 (20%)
• *Repayment Mortgage over 20 years = £735 pcm (4% interest rate)
• Rent PCM = £750 pcm (average for this price and location)
• Management Cost £75 pcm (10%)
• Additional payments = £60 pcm.

*Remember this is a repayment mortgage, not interest only, the long term goal is to pay this mortgage off over 20 years.

If you look at the £60 as your pension payments, in 20 years time you will have a pension pot worth £150,000, not taking into account any growth; giving you a return of £750 pcm.
Now the chances are that there will be capital growth during this period, if we take it at just 5% per year, your property will be worth £397,995 in 20 years time.
Rental also historically increases over time, if we take 5% here as well, your £750 would be worth £1,990 pcm in 20 years.

In Conclusion:

When investing in stocks and shares, it is extremely hard to get an idea of what they will be worth come retirement time. Brokers and IFA’s will bombard you with figures, but for the most part it’s a shot in the dark.
One thing that not is historical data on property and rental growth, this can be proved, as can the UK’s desperate need for more property and the demand for rental property in certain areas.
Many of you probably own a house and have done for a number of years, cast your mind back 20 years and recall the re-sale and rental values then. See what I mean?

In short:

• £30,000 investment in property now
• £60 pcm top up

Should provide you with…

• An asset worth £397,995 in 20 years time
• Income of £1,990 per month.

The Alternative:

Keep ploughing money into a product you’re not in control of and you probably don’t understand.

For information on how you can make your pension work best for you contact Fresh Invest on 01243 527327 or email info@freshinvest.co.uk.

One of the ladies in the BBC news article had invested £100,000 into a “Cautious fund” and she quickly lost £40,000… unbelievable! Not only this, but the lady’s money was also decreasing at a faster rate because of the fact it was shrinking against the rate of inflation.

At a time of inflation coupled with low interest rates, ideally you would like to be in a position where you have an asset which is making you money and your borrowings on that asset are also, in real terms, shrinking while inflation is present. Your asset will be making you an increased amount of money with inflation and in comparison to your borrowings against it; the time at which you will have no outstanding finance will approach quickly. I am, of course talking about property.

It is no surprise that property investment has, for a long time, served as the main entry route to the forbes 100 rich list. The process of buying property in the right location at the right time and making sure the rent is going to cover the repayments you have on any borrowings, is just the start of it. The distance you can make your money stretch in property is insurmountable, by refinancing and keeping the cash flow on each property positive every month.

I have seen an article today from a top economic forecaster predicting that interest rates will remain at 0.5% until 2014; you may have also seen that the UK economy grew faster than expected last month inflation is at a rate of around 3% this typically means that the price of most goods and services are increasing at that rate and, ideally, your wage at work, as opposed to your borrowings on your property, which will be shrinking in comparison. Ideally I would be looking to invest in property now, take advantage of very little new build stock, the low interest rates available and use some of the positive cash flow generated every month to reduce my borrowings, so when interest rates do finally rise I am less susceptible to increased repayments.

See some of our UK investment opportunities here

As the election comes around people traditionally slow their searches for new properties, in a hope to not overexposing themselves to possible new policies, which could leave them struggling once the new government has been decided. One such new policy could be an agreement to hold the interest rates at a current low level, this will of course be beneficial to anyone looking to trade up in the housing market and possibly leverage themselves further against the value of their property, if interest rates were due to increase this could be a problem for would be house buyers as they may struggle to match the repayments.

On the other hand it is normal in Britain for the property market to have somewhat of an upsurge in interest during spring, this can be attributed, partly to the sun making house hunting a more pleasant experience and also, to the budget which is often announced late in March and provides more certainty to market conditions.

It is good to see this news, as now the new government has been decided and are getting to work, we would expect the current trend in new house buyers and a slow increase in house prices to continue, as people are given more certainty in the position they will be in, come the next few months. There are a few interesting policies being taken into government, it will be interesting to see what the Lib-Dems have in store with the new “safe start” mortgage, designed to stop new buyers slipping into negative equity.

News of the increase in prices and sales came from RICS this month, as they published their latest monthly survey of some 245 members of the RICS who work as estate agents.

Fresh Invest is a property investment company with the aim of maximising our investor’s funds whilst minimising their risk. For more information see www.freshinvest.co.uk or phone 0800 043 69 56.

The reason for this is simple:

When the banks dropped their interest rates, UK home owners on a tracker or variable rate mortgage had 2 choices:

-          Spend their increased discretionary income as they wish living a better lifestyle with luxury goods or,
-          Invest their increased discretionary income back into their property.

Now this piece of news shows that the majority of UK homeowners have chosen to do the latter…

Well done UK! The reason this is so good for us as a nation is that we, and therefore the banks, are now not so heavily leveraged on our properties and when the Bank of England inevitably raises the interest rates, we will still be able to afford the repayments on our now smaller borrowings.

This piece of reassuring news can put your mind at rest that the UK house prices should remain buoyant and we will not see the “dead cat bounce”

Others will argue that the idea of lowering interest rates is to get the UK homeowners to spend their increased discretionary income in the consumer markets, However, I don’t agree.

As interest rates dropped UK homeowners continued to keep the consumer markets ticking over as they paid off their mortgages. It would seem we have got through the hard stage and now we are in a good position to continue spending in the consumer markets, whilst maintaining our now lower mortgage repayments… Either way we see this as good news!

If you remember i blogged in september regarding a lack of supply leading to increased prices, well it seems mortgage solutions agrees……better late than never! See their article here.

I personally i think they missed the biggest point which is the slow down in new build development. But you get the same result.

We still have a few new build developments with discounts available, if you are looking for a property investment click the link!

Another option is to buy a student property, some of our wealthiest investors specialise totally in student accommodation investment. A couple of them have yields close to 20% on massive portfolio’s!

Some investors don’t like the hassle of student property but if you have a management company set up all you need to do is collect the profits!

I think you will be in the minority if you haven’t suffered some kind of hardship this year, many investors have seen thier dreams of retirement severely set back.

This has not been confined to property, if you had shares or your money in some banks you could be in a worse situation!

So what should this year have taught the average investor?

1. The only way to build a profitable portfolio for the long term is by investing smart.

For me that means keeping at least 20% worth of equity in any property so you build yourself a buffer to combat any drop in values.

Investors have been stung by dropping loan to value rates, an unwillingness by lenders to remortgage on to rates previously offered has seen investors have to increase the equity in their properties, leaving them severely stretched.

Over the last 2 years i have seen investors with portfolio’s worth in excess of £100m go bankrupt, how can this be i hear you say.

What some property investors seem to misunderstand is that if you have a portfolio worth £100m, with lending on it of £90m. You actually have a portfolio worth £10m. If property prices drop 10%, what is the worth of your portfolio…Nothing!

If this happens you are entirely reliant on the income that your portfolio brings in, investors too highly geared normally cannot withstand more than a couple of months of empty properties.

2. Property Investment is not a get rich quick scheme – investors that use it as such usually find they have leveraged too high.

I am one of the biggest exponents of flipping property, i think that if you have the time and the know how it is possible to make decent profit this way but it is entirely dependent on a couple of factors.

Firstly, you need a massive amount of knowledge of the local market, this is not something that can be learnt quickly, so for this reason either keep to one area or find yourself a property specialist that you trust completely.

Secondly, always have another exit strategy, so if you are buying to re-sell, make sure that if worst case you can’t do this immediately, you can let the property out and pay your mortgage that way.

I have refurbed properties for over 6 years and we are also in the middle of developing apartments, i value every property investment opportunity by the number of exit strategies it provides.

3. The good times will come again, use times like these to research the market and decide where the best profits will be made next year and in the future.

If i could focus on the single most important factor i have taken from 2009 it’s that within the next month or so the vast majority of new build developers will completely run out of stock.

At Fresh Invest we are in contact with all major new build developers and 9 months ago all of them decided to stop all build that wasn’t already past footings. This decision was made because the last thing the market needed at that point was more new build stock. They are all building again now but this has created a back log where all finished sites have been sold and the next tranche of stock is still around 6 months away.

We have seen average discounts reduced from 40% 9 months ago, to 15%-20% now, and thats if you can find any stock. We have 2 developments left on our books which are selling at around 2 a day.

The first 6 months of 2010 will see property prices increase due to a lack of supply and increased demand as more confidence seeps back into the market.

I would take the first few months of 2010 to pick up the last pieces of good quality discount property around, there is only 1 way values are going to go in 2010.

New Opportunities through Fresh Invest:

1. We are launching a scheme that should give clients access to lender stock, for property investors looking to pick up great quality buy to let property in a particular area this is the one!

2. We are working hard on some student schemes, these should yield over 8%, have really low interest rates and start at around £80,000. With massive demand and industry professionals flocking to this market this is definitely one for the future!

If you look at the simple economics, student accommodation really does sell itself.

In short, you can purchase a property that will rent at a much higher value to students than an equivalent unit would to a private individual. You also do not have the downfall of rental voids! In fact, many landlords are filling their units 6 months in advance!

Many investors want hands off investments with high returns and no rental voids.

If this is you, look no further.

Demand:

Where rental demand in the residential sector is prone to peaks and troughs, student number have continued to rise from 1.8 million in 1996-97 to approaching 2.4 million in 2009-10*.

Indeed early indications are that the economic conditions have led to even more people looking to higher education.

UCAS data revealed that UK university applicants rose 10% between 2008 and 2009 and overseas applicants rose 13.6% during the same period.

“Overall student numbers are likely to remain stable and in the medium-term there is unlikely to be a substantial uplift in student places as caps remain in place. However, the expectation is that the proportions of both overseas and postgraduate students will continue to grow, underpinning future demand for private professionally managed halls.” Knight Frank

Supply:

Private Student Development is still made up of the 4 main service providers, UNITE, UPP, Opal and Liberty Living. The majority of students have to rely on halls for their accommodation with a small percent benefitting from access to private operated rooms.

Many university run halls are found to be outdated and lacking in necessary facilities. This creates demand for private accommodation but with development finance so hard to come by, this accommodation is nowhere near keeping up with demand.

“Student Numbers are growing at 15 times the rate of new supply in London” Savills

Prospects:

Student accommodation rents have increased by 5% p.a for the last 6 years with growth increasing right into the 2009/10 academic years. Compare this to residential and commercial rents which have both fallen overall during this period and you start to understand what makes this market so appealing.

“Student Housing delivers income during uncertain economic times” Savills

As student accommodation is commercial by class this has also seen an increase in values, this sectors robustness is highly attractive to a growing number of investors who want high capital growth that can be depended on for the long term.

Even in the midst of a global downturn occupation levels for good quality purpose built private accommodation is close to 100% with rental levels for 2010 predicted to increase by at least 5%.

Yields and Values:

Although the rentals gained have not been hit by the credit crunch, one side that has been impacted has been the finance student developers have been able to find. Because of a lack of this many new build schemes have not got off the ground.

If we factor this and the fact that university applications have steadily increased we have a demand/supply scenario which is drastically in the favour of the buy to let investor with student property in their portfolio.

Compound this with the fact that many universities cannot afford to build the necessary accommodation themselves and we have a scenario where these same universities cannot grow to their potential because of this lack of accommodation.

Universities have always relied on private developers to make up the deficit that their own student halls cannot fill.

With many student developers not building because of the lending constrictions, small investors are starting to fill the void with new build 4/5 bedroom houses. These normally comply with the rigorous build accreditations and rent for a lot more than residential lettings.

Through this lack of supply yields have risen steadily and values have followed, we envision this to be the case for the foreseeable future. The student market is continually growing and with many universities operating on shoestrings it falls to the private student developers to build in their place.

How we can help:

You will have seen by previous posts, blogs and emails that Fresh Invest have faith in the student market as a valid buy to let option.

For this reason we are due in the very near future to bring you a selection of landmark student pods which can be bough individually as “completely hands off” investments.

These properties will come already tenanted with high yields and great commercial mortgage options.

Below is an example of a property we are close to agreeing an exclusive for.

Financial Example.
1 bed student pod – First Floor – From £90,000

• Deposit Needed – £31,500
• Rental achievable – £541 (£125 per week)
• Mortgage – £58,500
• Mortgage Payments – £138 pcm (RBS, 65% LTV @ 2.83% Tracker)
• Service Charge and Ground Rent: £70 pcm
• Positive cashflow of £333 pcm!

Register your interest for these opportunities here.

We all knew that lenders were going to need to increase their loan to value rates, and that when they did it would make a massive difference to the property investment market.

Over the past few months half decent rates had been reserved for investors with 40% deposits. Now i do not condone most no money down deals, i think they lead to more problems than they alleviate.

However! the case for the investor with a healthy 20% deposit should be heard, they have a large amount of equity in their property and should now be relatively safe from negative equity.

It seems the lenders now agree.

What are the new rates like?

Since the BOE base rate reached 0.5% products requiring a 15% deposit have risen from 169 to 231. And the number of products requiring just 10% upfront has gone up from 89 to 105 in the last month alone.

This is certainly a massive difference to a year or even 6 months ago.

Nationwide has already announced a new influx of deals, including some at 85% loan to value and they have also released some of their best rates at 70% ltv, from their previous at 60%.

They have even released a special 90% ltv rate for investors that hold one of their flexaccounts. These start at 4.63% for a 2 year tracker.

The Woolwich have also released details of their new 75% ltv rates, this is the first time the lender has made it to 75% for at least a year. The new mortgages include a lifetime tracker on 2.94% and 2 year fixed on 3.99%.

Abbey also have a new range out, these are exclusively for their current account customers. One of their best is a 90% ltv 3 year fixed rate at 5.99%, their cheapest mortgages are now available at 70% from 60%.

So why the sudden change?

It seems that lenders now believe that the worst is behind us, in short if they are offering 90% ltv mortgage they believe that property prices will not drop more than 10%, in fact they believe that prices will increase in the future, as now being reported in most news channels.

Just last month hsbc pledged to lend an extra £500m at 90% ltv by the end of this year!

Add this to the political pressure being put on lenders by the government, this was summed up by the governments own lending house northern rock as they released some of the best ltv rates seen for over a year!

So should i buy now?

If you are looking at getitng into property investment there has never been a better time to invest, there are still seller under pressure but now there is also the promise of some competitive rates. This means that not only can you buy cheap, you can also borrow cheaply!

We don’t expect this to remain the case for long so why not add or start your portfolio with some discounted property now!

Also check out our UK Buying Guide for handy hints and tips.